| Report | Options implied | Actual move | Market was |
|---|---|---|---|
| November 4, 2025 | ±1.9% | +1.0% | over-priced |
| August 7, 2025 | ±3.0% | +0.4% | over-priced |
| April 30, 2025 | ±2.4% | +3.8% | under-priced |
| October 30, 2024 | ±1.9% | +3.6% | under-priced |
| August 8, 2024 | ±4.0% | +0.1% | over-priced |
| April 30, 2024 | ±2.2% | -2.6% | under-priced |
| November 1, 2023 | ±2.6% | +7.4% | under-priced |
| July 27, 2023 | ±1.1% | -2.9% | under-priced |
| Quarter | EPS (dil.) | Revenue | Net income |
|---|---|---|---|
| Q4 FY2025 | $4.62 | $1.5B | $279M |
| Q3 FY2025 | $6.85 | $1.8B | $414M |
| Q2 FY2025 | $5.43 | $1.6B | $328M |
| Q1 FY2025 | $1.90 | $1.2B | $116M |
Martin Marietta Materials (MLM) reports imminently, with the next report estimated for May 3, 2026. Across the last 8 reports, options priced an average ±2.4% earnings move while the stock actually moved 2.7% on average — the market has been roughly fair on MLM's earnings risk. Fundamentals into the print: EPS down 4.0% year-over-year, revenue down 5.9%. QuantLogix's live 5-factor engine currently reads MLM as a buy at 54/100.
Implied move is derived from at-the-money option pricing; actual moves are close-to-close on report days. Next-report dates are estimates until confirmed by the company. Educational market analysis, not investment advice. Browse all signal scorecards →