| Report | Options implied | Actual move | Market was |
|---|---|---|---|
| November 25, 2025 | ±3.2% | +2.1% | over-priced |
| August 26, 2025 | ±3.4% | +0.1% | over-priced |
| February 25, 2025 | ±3.7% | +0.3% | over-priced |
| November 26, 2024 | ±2.2% | -0.1% | over-priced |
| August 27, 2024 | ±2.5% | -0.6% | over-priced |
| February 27, 2024 | ±2.6% | +0.2% | over-priced |
| November 30, 2023 | ±1.3% | +0.5% | over-priced |
| August 31, 2023 | ±1.9% | -1.0% | over-priced |
| Quarter | EPS (dil.) | Revenue | Net income |
|---|---|---|---|
| Q2 FY2026 | $1.07 | $9.0B | $1.4B |
| Q1 FY2026 | $0.81 | $8.6B | $1.0B |
| Q4 FY2025 | $0.82 | $8.9B | $1.1B |
| Q3 FY2025 | $1.01 | $8.3B | $1.3B |
Medtronic plc (MDT) reports imminently, with the next report estimated for May 24, 2026. Across the last 8 reports, options priced an average ±2.6% earnings move while the stock actually moved 0.6% on average — the market has systematically over-priced MDT's earnings risk. Fundamentals into the print: EPS up 8.1% year-over-year, revenue up 6.6%. QuantLogix's live 5-factor engine currently reads MDT as a neutral at 44/100.
Implied move is derived from at-the-money option pricing; actual moves are close-to-close on report days. Next-report dates are estimates until confirmed by the company. Educational market analysis, not investment advice. Browse all signal scorecards →