| Report | Options implied | Actual move | Market was |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04/28/2026 | ±2.1% | +1.9% | over-priced |
| 02/04/2026 | ±2.8% | -0.1% | over-priced |
| 10/28/2025 | ±2.1% | -2.4% | under-priced |
| 07/29/2025 | ±1.7% | +0.2% | over-priced |
| 04/29/2025 | ±2.2% | +0.8% | over-priced |
| 02/05/2025 | ±2.2% | +2.3% | under-priced |
| 10/29/2024 | ±1.5% | -0.6% | over-priced |
| 07/30/2024 | ±1.7% | -0.1% | over-priced |
| Quarter | EPS (dil.) | Revenue | Net income |
|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 FY2026 | $0.44 | $10.1B | $560M |
| Q4 FY2025 | — | $10.5B | $665M |
| Q3 FY2025 | $0.57 | $9.7B | $743M |
| Q2 FY2025 | $0.49 | $9.0B | $641M |
MDLZ (MDLZ) reports imminently, with the next report estimated for 10/26/2026. Across the last 8 reports, options priced an average ±2.0% earnings move while the stock actually moved 1.1% on average — the market has systematically over-priced MDLZ's earnings risk. Fundamentals into the print: EPS up 41.9% year-over-year, revenue up 8.2%. QuantLogix's live 5-factor engine currently reads MDLZ as a buy at 67/100.
Implied move is derived from at-the-money option pricing; actual moves are close-to-close on report days. Next-report dates are estimates until confirmed by the company. Educational market analysis, not investment advice. Browse all signal scorecards →