| Report | Options implied | Actual move | Market was |
|---|---|---|---|
| February 5, 2026 | ±5.3% | -0.2% | over-priced |
| November 6, 2025 | ±3.3% | -2.4% | over-priced |
| August 7, 2025 | ±4.0% | +0.1% | over-priced |
| November 5, 2024 | ±3.5% | +0.8% | over-priced |
| August 1, 2024 | ±3.5% | -5.0% | under-priced |
| February 1, 2024 | ±2.8% | +0.6% | over-priced |
| November 2, 2023 | ±3.2% | +3.6% | under-priced |
| August 3, 2023 | ±3.0% | -0.8% | over-priced |
| Quarter | EPS (dil.) | Revenue | Net income |
|---|---|---|---|
| Q4 FY2026 | $0.22 | $1.3B | $144M |
| Q3 FY2026 | $0.06 | $1.2B | $63M |
| Q2 FY2026 | $0.03 | $1.1B | $42M |
| Q1 FY2026 | $-0.09 | $1.1B | $-19M |
Microchip Technology Inc (MCHP) reports in 10 days, with the next report estimated for June 23, 2026. Across the last 8 reports, options priced an average ±3.6% earnings move while the stock actually moved 1.7% on average — the market has systematically over-priced MCHP's earnings risk. Fundamentals into the print: EPS up 0.0% year-over-year, revenue up 0.0%. QuantLogix's live 5-factor engine currently reads MCHP as a buy at 64/100.
Implied move is derived from at-the-money option pricing; actual moves are close-to-close on report days. Next-report dates are estimates until confirmed by the company. Educational market analysis, not investment advice. Browse all signal scorecards →