| Report | Options implied | Actual move | Market was |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 7, 2026 | ±2.1% | -0.1% | over-priced |
| November 5, 2025 | ±1.5% | +2.2% | under-priced |
| August 6, 2025 | ±1.6% | +3.0% | under-priced |
| May 12, 2025 | ±1.5% | -0.6% | over-priced |
| November 7, 2024 | ±1.6% | +0.2% | over-priced |
| August 8, 2024 | ±2.5% | +0.7% | over-priced |
| May 8, 2024 | ±1.7% | +0.4% | over-priced |
| November 2, 2023 | ±1.8% | +1.9% | under-priced |
| Quarter | EPS (dil.) | Revenue | Net income |
|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 FY2026 | $2.78 | $6.5B | $2.0B |
| Q4 FY2025 | $3.03 | $7.0B | $2.2B |
| Q3 FY2025 | $3.18 | $7.1B | $2.3B |
| Q2 FY2025 | $3.14 | $6.8B | $2.3B |
McDonald's Corporation (MCD) reports in 99 days, with the next report estimated for September 20, 2026. Across the last 8 reports, options priced an average ±1.8% earnings move while the stock actually moved 1.1% on average — the market has been roughly fair on MCD's earnings risk. Fundamentals into the print: EPS up 6.9% year-over-year, revenue up 9.4%. QuantLogix's live 5-factor engine currently reads MCD as a buy at 56/100.
Implied move is derived from at-the-money option pricing; actual moves are close-to-close on report days. Next-report dates are estimates until confirmed by the company. Educational market analysis, not investment advice. Browse all signal scorecards →