| Report | Options implied | Actual move | Market was |
|---|---|---|---|
| October 30, 2025 | ±1.7% | -0.2% | over-priced |
| July 31, 2025 | ±1.4% | +1.3% | over-priced |
| May 1, 2025 | ±1.9% | -0.3% | over-priced |
| October 31, 2024 | ±1.3% | -2.7% | under-priced |
| July 31, 2024 | ±2.1% | +3.6% | under-priced |
| May 1, 2024 | ±1.4% | -2.0% | under-priced |
| October 26, 2023 | ±1.8% | -5.6% | under-priced |
| July 27, 2023 | ±1.4% | -2.0% | under-priced |
| Quarter | EPS (dil.) | Revenue | Net income |
|---|---|---|---|
| Q4 FY2025 | $4.52 | $8.8B | $4.1B |
| Q3 FY2025 | $4.34 | $8.6B | $3.9B |
| Q2 FY2025 | $4.07 | $8.1B | $3.7B |
| Q1 FY2025 | $3.59 | $7.3B | $3.3B |
Mastercard Incorporated (MA) reports imminently, with the next report estimated for April 28, 2026. Across the last 8 reports, options priced an average ±1.6% earnings move while the stock actually moved 2.2% on average — the market has been roughly fair on MA's earnings risk. Fundamentals into the print: EPS up 24.2% year-over-year, revenue up 17.6%. QuantLogix's live 5-factor engine currently reads MA as a buy at 55/100.
Implied move is derived from at-the-money option pricing; actual moves are close-to-close on report days. Next-report dates are estimates until confirmed by the company. Educational market analysis, not investment advice. Browse all signal scorecards →