| Report | Options implied | Actual move | Market was |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08/05/2026 | ±3.5% | +4.9% | under-priced |
| 04/30/2026 | ±3.0% | +9.8% | under-priced |
| 02/12/2026 | ±5.0% | +2.3% | over-priced |
| 10/30/2025 | ±2.3% | +3.8% | under-priced |
| 08/07/2025 | ±3.1% | -14.1% | under-priced |
| 05/01/2025 | ±2.8% | -11.7% | under-priced |
| 02/19/2025 | ±2.4% | +1.1% | over-priced |
| 10/30/2024 | ±1.4% | -6.3% | under-priced |
| Quarter | EPS (dil.) | Revenue | Net income |
|---|---|---|---|
| Q2 FY2026 | $7.94 | $23.0B | $7.1B |
| Q1 FY2026 | $8.26 | $19.8B | $7.4B |
| Q4 FY2025 | — | $19.3B | $6.6B |
| Q3 FY2025 | $6.21 | $17.6B | $5.6B |
Eli Lilly & Co. (LLY) reports in 6 days, with the next report estimated for 11/03/2026. Across the last 8 reports, options priced an average ±2.9% earnings move while the stock actually moved 6.8% on average — the market has tended to under-price LLY's earnings risk. Fundamentals into the print: EPS up 26.2% year-over-year, revenue up 47.7%. QuantLogix's live 5-factor engine currently reads LLY as a buy at 77/100.
Implied move is derived from at-the-money option pricing; actual moves are close-to-close on report days. Next-report dates are estimates until confirmed by the company. Educational market analysis, not investment advice. Browse all signal scorecards →