| Report | Options implied | Actual move | Market was |
|---|---|---|---|
| October 30, 2025 | ±2.3% | +3.8% | under-priced |
| August 7, 2025 | ±3.1% | -14.1% | under-priced |
| May 1, 2025 | ±2.8% | -11.7% | under-priced |
| October 30, 2024 | ±1.4% | -6.3% | under-priced |
| August 8, 2024 | ±5.2% | +9.5% | under-priced |
| April 30, 2024 | ±2.2% | +6.0% | under-priced |
| November 2, 2023 | ±2.8% | +4.7% | under-priced |
| August 8, 2023 | ±1.5% | +14.9% | under-priced |
| Quarter | EPS (dil.) | Revenue | Net income |
|---|---|---|---|
| Q4 FY2025 | $7.39 | $19.3B | $6.6B |
| Q3 FY2025 | $6.21 | $17.6B | $5.6B |
| Q2 FY2025 | $6.29 | $15.6B | $5.7B |
| Q1 FY2025 | $3.06 | $12.7B | $2.8B |
Eli Lilly & Co. (LLY) reports imminently, with the next report estimated for April 28, 2026. Across the last 8 reports, options priced an average ±2.6% earnings move while the stock actually moved 8.9% on average — the market has tended to under-price LLY's earnings risk. Fundamentals into the print: EPS up 51.4% year-over-year, revenue up 42.6%. QuantLogix's live 5-factor engine currently reads LLY as a buy at 63/100.
Implied move is derived from at-the-money option pricing; actual moves are close-to-close on report days. Next-report dates are estimates until confirmed by the company. Educational market analysis, not investment advice. Browse all signal scorecards →