| Report | Options implied | Actual move | Market was |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 5, 2026 | ±1.9% | +1.0% | over-priced |
| November 4, 2025 | ±2.0% | -1.3% | over-priced |
| August 5, 2025 | ±2.5% | -0.1% | over-priced |
| May 6, 2025 | ±3.0% | -1.7% | over-priced |
| November 6, 2024 | ±1.9% | +15.7% | under-priced |
| May 2, 2024 | ±2.6% | +1.1% | over-priced |
| November 2, 2023 | ±3.5% | +8.3% | under-priced |
| Quarter | EPS (dil.) | Revenue | Net income |
|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 FY2026 | $0.44 | $2.0B | $522M |
| Q3 FY2025 | $0.41 | $1.9B | $489M |
| Q2 FY2025 | $0.35 | $1.8B | $425M |
| Q1 FY2025 | $0.33 | $1.8B | $405M |
KeyCorp (KEY) reports in 52 days, with the next report estimated for September 18, 2026. Across the last 7 reports, options priced an average ±2.5% earnings move while the stock actually moved 4.2% on average — the market has systematically over-priced KEY's earnings risk. Fundamentals into the print: EPS up 251.7% year-over-year, revenue up 125.8%. QuantLogix's live 5-factor engine currently reads KEY as a buy at 59/100.
Implied move is derived from at-the-money option pricing; actual moves are close-to-close on report days. Next-report dates are estimates until confirmed by the company. Educational market analysis, not investment advice. Browse all signal scorecards →