| Report | Options implied | Actual move | Market was |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08/04/2026 | ±1.7% | +1.3% | over-priced |
| 05/05/2026 | ±1.9% | +1.0% | over-priced |
| 02/23/2026 | ±2.6% | -5.4% | under-priced |
| 11/04/2025 | ±2.0% | -1.3% | over-priced |
| 08/05/2025 | ±2.5% | -0.1% | over-priced |
| 05/06/2025 | ±3.0% | -1.7% | over-priced |
| 02/21/2025 | ±2.5% | -3.7% | under-priced |
| 11/06/2024 | ±1.9% | +15.7% | under-priced |
| Quarter | EPS (dil.) | Revenue | Net income |
|---|---|---|---|
| Q2 FY2026 | $0.44 | $2.0B | $509M |
| Q1 FY2026 | $0.44 | $2.0B | $522M |
| Q4 FY2025 | — | $2.0B | $510M |
| Q3 FY2025 | $0.41 | $1.9B | $489M |
KeyCorp (KEY) reports in 6 days, with the next report estimated for 11/03/2026. Across the last 8 reports, options priced an average ±2.3% earnings move while the stock actually moved 3.8% on average — the market has been roughly fair on KEY's earnings risk. Fundamentals into the print: EPS up 25.7% year-over-year, revenue up 6.7%. QuantLogix's live 5-factor engine currently reads KEY as a neutral at 49/100.
Implied move is derived from at-the-money option pricing; actual moves are close-to-close on report days. Next-report dates are estimates until confirmed by the company. Educational market analysis, not investment advice. Browse all signal scorecards →