| Report | Options implied | Actual move | Market was |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08/06/2026 | ±2.9% | -0.9% | over-priced |
| 05/07/2026 | ±3.3% | -1.9% | over-priced |
| 10/24/2025 | ±1.9% | -4.5% | under-priced |
| 08/01/2025 | ±1.9% | -1.4% | over-priced |
| 05/01/2025 | ±2.6% | -0.3% | over-priced |
| 10/30/2024 | ±1.4% | +3.2% | under-priced |
| 08/02/2024 | ±3.1% | +0.7% | over-priced |
| 05/02/2024 | ±1.9% | -0.1% | over-priced |
| Quarter | EPS (dil.) | Revenue | Net income |
|---|---|---|---|
| Q2 FY2026 | $2.84 | $4.3B | $815M |
| Q1 FY2026 | $2.66 | $4.0B | $768M |
| Q4 FY2025 | $2.72 | $4.1B | $790M |
| Q3 FY2025 | $2.81 | $4.1B | $821M |
Illinois Tool Works Inc. (ITW) reports in 79 days, with the next report estimated for 11/30/2026. Across the last 8 reports, options priced an average ±2.4% earnings move while the stock actually moved 1.6% on average — the market has systematically over-priced ITW's earnings risk. Fundamentals into the print: EPS up 10.1% year-over-year, revenue up 6.1%. QuantLogix's live 5-factor engine currently reads ITW as a buy at 60/100.
Implied move is derived from at-the-money option pricing; actual moves are close-to-close on report days. Next-report dates are estimates until confirmed by the company. Educational market analysis, not investment advice. Browse all signal scorecards →