| Report | Options implied | Actual move | Market was |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 5, 2026 | ±6.9% | +2.1% | over-priced |
| November 6, 2025 | ±6.4% | +0.6% | over-priced |
| August 7, 2025 | ±5.1% | +3.7% | over-priced |
| May 7, 2025 | ±4.8% | -1.0% | over-priced |
| November 1, 2024 | ±4.4% | +0.4% | over-priced |
| April 26, 2024 | ±3.0% | +0.9% | over-priced |
| October 27, 2023 | ±3.0% | +0.8% | over-priced |
| July 28, 2023 | ±3.3% | +1.0% | over-priced |
| Quarter | EPS (dil.) | Revenue | Net income |
|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 FY2026 | $0.11 | $6.0B | $60M |
| Q4 FY2025 | $-4.52 | $6.0B | $-2.7B |
| Q3 FY2025 | $-2.09 | $6.2B | $-1.4B |
| Q2 FY2025 | $0.14 | $6.1B | $75M |
International Paper Co. (IP) reports in 98 days, with the next report estimated for September 19, 2026. Across the last 8 reports, options priced an average ±4.6% earnings move while the stock actually moved 1.3% on average — the market has systematically over-priced IP's earnings risk. Fundamentals into the print: EPS up 145.8% year-over-year, revenue up 13.4%. QuantLogix's live 5-factor engine currently reads IP as a buy at 56/100.
Implied move is derived from at-the-money option pricing; actual moves are close-to-close on report days. Next-report dates are estimates until confirmed by the company. Educational market analysis, not investment advice. Browse all signal scorecards →