| Report | Options implied | Actual move | Market was |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08/05/2026 | ±4.4% | -0.1% | over-priced |
| 05/05/2026 | ±6.9% | +2.1% | over-priced |
| 11/06/2025 | ±6.4% | +0.6% | over-priced |
| 08/07/2025 | ±5.1% | +3.7% | over-priced |
| 05/07/2025 | ±4.8% | -1.0% | over-priced |
| 11/01/2024 | ±4.4% | +0.4% | over-priced |
| 04/26/2024 | ±3.0% | +0.9% | over-priced |
| 10/27/2023 | ±3.0% | +0.8% | over-priced |
| Quarter | EPS (dil.) | Revenue | Net income |
|---|---|---|---|
| Q2 FY2026 | $-0.02 | $6.0B | $-12M |
| Q1 FY2026 | $0.11 | $6.0B | $60M |
| Q4 FY2025 | $-4.52 | $6.0B | $-2.7B |
| Q3 FY2025 | $-2.09 | $6.2B | $-1.4B |
International Paper Co. (IP) reports in 75 days, with the next report estimated for 11/26/2026. Across the last 8 reports, options priced an average ±4.7% earnings move while the stock actually moved 1.2% on average — the market has systematically over-priced IP's earnings risk. Fundamentals into the print: EPS down 114.3% year-over-year, revenue down 2.2%. QuantLogix's live 5-factor engine currently reads IP as a underweight at 34/100.
Implied move is derived from at-the-money option pricing; actual moves are close-to-close on report days. Next-report dates are estimates until confirmed by the company. Educational market analysis, not investment advice. Browse all signal scorecards →