| Report | Options implied | Actual move | Market was |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07/30/2026 | ±2.4% | +1.3% | over-priced |
| 04/30/2026 | ±2.0% | +1.2% | over-priced |
| 02/05/2026 | ±3.9% | +2.1% | over-priced |
| 10/30/2025 | ±2.2% | -1.4% | over-priced |
| 07/31/2025 | ±1.4% | -0.5% | over-priced |
| 05/01/2025 | ±1.8% | +1.7% | over-priced |
| 02/06/2025 | ±1.7% | +4.3% | under-priced |
| 10/31/2024 | ±1.2% | -6.4% | under-priced |
| Quarter | EPS (dil.) | Revenue | Net income |
|---|---|---|---|
| Q2 FY2026 | $1.69 | $3.6B | $958M |
| Q1 FY2026 | $2.48 | $3.7B | $1.4B |
| Q4 FY2025 | — | $3.1B | $851M |
| Q3 FY2025 | $1.42 | $3.0B | $816M |
Intercontinental Exchange Inc. (ICE) reports in 1 day, with the next report estimated for 10/29/2026. Across the last 8 reports, options priced an average ±2.1% earnings move while the stock actually moved 2.4% on average — the market has systematically over-priced ICE's earnings risk. Fundamentals into the print: EPS up 14.2% year-over-year, revenue up 10.7%. QuantLogix's live 5-factor engine currently reads ICE as a buy at 62/100.
Implied move is derived from at-the-money option pricing; actual moves are close-to-close on report days. Next-report dates are estimates until confirmed by the company. Educational market analysis, not investment advice. Browse all signal scorecards →