| Report | Options implied | Actual move | Market was |
|---|---|---|---|
| July 23, 2026 | ±2.2% | +0.9% | over-priced |
| April 23, 2026 | ±1.9% | +1.1% | over-priced |
| October 27, 2025 | ±1.3% | -0.1% | over-priced |
| July 28, 2025 | ±1.4% | -1.7% | under-priced |
| April 24, 2025 | ±2.9% | +0.2% | over-priced |
| October 24, 2024 | ±1.7% | +0.5% | over-priced |
| July 25, 2024 | ±2.0% | +0.4% | over-priced |
| April 25, 2024 | ±1.6% | -0.8% | over-priced |
| Quarter | EPS (dil.) | Revenue | Net income |
|---|---|---|---|
| Q2 FY2026 | $4.68 | $7.3B | $1.3B |
| Q1 FY2026 | $3.04 | $7.2B | $856M |
| Q4 FY2025 | $3.98 | $7.3B | $1.1B |
| Q3 FY2025 | $3.77 | $7.2B | $1.1B |
The Hartford Insurance Group, Inc. (HIG) reports in 108 days, with the next report estimated for November 13, 2026. Across the last 8 reports, options priced an average ±1.9% earnings move while the stock actually moved 0.7% on average — the market has systematically over-priced HIG's earnings risk. Fundamentals into the print: EPS up 36.0% year-over-year, revenue up 4.0%. QuantLogix's live 5-factor engine currently reads HIG as a buy at 61/100.
Implied move is derived from at-the-money option pricing; actual moves are close-to-close on report days. Next-report dates are estimates until confirmed by the company. Educational market analysis, not investment advice. Browse all signal scorecards →