| Report | Options implied | Actual move | Market was |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/26/2026 | ±1.9% | -0.6% | over-priced |
| 07/23/2026 | ±2.2% | +0.9% | over-priced |
| 04/23/2026 | ±1.9% | +1.1% | over-priced |
| 02/20/2026 | ±2.0% | +1.3% | over-priced |
| 10/27/2025 | ±1.3% | -0.1% | over-priced |
| 07/28/2025 | ±1.4% | -1.7% | under-priced |
| 04/24/2025 | ±2.9% | +0.2% | over-priced |
| 02/21/2025 | ±1.2% | -0.8% | over-priced |
| Quarter | EPS (dil.) | Revenue | Net income |
|---|---|---|---|
| Q3 FY2026 | $4.82 | $7.2B | $1.3B |
| Q2 FY2026 | $4.68 | $7.3B | $1.3B |
| Q1 FY2026 | $3.04 | $7.2B | $856M |
| Q4 FY2025 | — | $7.3B | $1.1B |
HIG (HIG) reports in 90 days, with the next report estimated for 01/25/2027. Across the last 8 reports, options priced an average ±1.9% earnings move while the stock actually moved 0.8% on average — the market has systematically over-priced HIG's earnings risk. Fundamentals into the print: EPS up 27.9% year-over-year, revenue down 0.2%. QuantLogix's live 5-factor engine currently reads HIG as a neutral at 51/100.
Implied move is derived from at-the-money option pricing; actual moves are close-to-close on report days. Next-report dates are estimates until confirmed by the company. Educational market analysis, not investment advice. Browse all signal scorecards →