| Report | Options implied | Actual move | Market was |
|---|---|---|---|
| October 30, 2025 | ±4.5% | -3.4% | over-priced |
| July 31, 2025 | ±3.1% | -2.5% | over-priced |
| April 29, 2025 | ±6.7% | -2.5% | over-priced |
| October 29, 2024 | ±3.6% | -2.6% | over-priced |
| July 30, 2024 | ±4.8% | -4.3% | over-priced |
| May 1, 2024 | ±3.5% | +0.7% | over-priced |
| October 31, 2023 | ±5.8% | +4.5% | over-priced |
| July 27, 2023 | ±3.0% | +0.7% | over-priced |
| Quarter | EPS (dil.) | Revenue | Net income |
|---|---|---|---|
| Q3 FY2025 | $4.24 | $1.6B | $456M |
| Q2 FY2025 | $3.18 | $1.1B | $342M |
| Q4 FY2025 | $1.95 | $845M | $210M |
| Q4 FY2024 | $3.66 | $1.5B | $393M |
First Solar, Inc. (FSLR) reports imminently, with the next report estimated for April 28, 2026. Across the last 8 reports, options priced an average ±4.4% earnings move while the stock actually moved 2.6% on average — the market has systematically over-priced FSLR's earnings risk. Fundamentals into the print: EPS up 45.7% year-over-year, revenue up 79.7%. QuantLogix's live 5-factor engine currently reads FSLR as a buy at 54/100.
Implied move is derived from at-the-money option pricing; actual moves are close-to-close on report days. Next-report dates are estimates until confirmed by the company. Educational market analysis, not investment advice. Browse all signal scorecards →