| Report | Options implied | Actual move | Market was |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04/28/2026 | ±1.8% | +0.3% | over-priced |
| 02/18/2026 | ±2.3% | -0.8% | over-priced |
| 10/28/2025 | ±1.9% | -0.6% | over-priced |
| 07/30/2025 | ±1.4% | -0.0% | over-priced |
| 04/30/2025 | ±1.9% | -0.4% | over-priced |
| 02/27/2025 | ±2.2% | -10.5% | under-priced |
| 10/29/2024 | ±1.4% | -1.9% | under-priced |
| 07/30/2024 | ±1.5% | +0.7% | over-priced |
| Quarter | EPS (dil.) | Revenue | Net income |
|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 FY2026 | $0.70 | $4.2B | $405M |
| Q4 FY2025 | — | $3.8B | $-49M |
| Q3 FY2025 | $0.76 | $4.1B | $441M |
| Q2 FY2025 | $0.46 | $3.4B | $268M |
FE (FE) reports imminently, with the next report estimated for 10/26/2026. Across the last 8 reports, options priced an average ±1.8% earnings move while the stock actually moved 1.9% on average — the market has systematically over-priced FE's earnings risk. Fundamentals into the print: EPS up 12.9% year-over-year, revenue up 11.6%. QuantLogix's live 5-factor engine currently reads FE as a underweight at 46/100.
Implied move is derived from at-the-money option pricing; actual moves are close-to-close on report days. Next-report dates are estimates until confirmed by the company. Educational market analysis, not investment advice. Browse all signal scorecards →