| Report | Options implied | Actual move | Market was |
|---|---|---|---|
| March 19, 2026 | ±2.1% | +1.8% | over-priced |
| December 18, 2025 | ±1.5% | +1.7% | under-priced |
| September 18, 2025 | ±2.8% | +0.3% | over-priced |
| March 20, 2025 | ±1.8% | -0.4% | over-priced |
| December 19, 2024 | ±2.0% | +1.0% | over-priced |
| September 19, 2024 | ±2.1% | +0.7% | over-priced |
| March 21, 2024 | ±1.5% | +1.9% | under-priced |
| December 19, 2023 | ±2.3% | -0.7% | over-priced |
| Quarter | EPS (dil.) | Revenue | Net income |
|---|---|---|---|
| Q3 FY2026 | $4.41 | $24.0B | $1.1B |
| Q2 FY2026 | $4.04 | $23.5B | $956M |
| Q1 FY2026 | $3.46 | $22.2B | $824M |
| Q4 FY2025 | $6.82 | $22.2B | $1.6B |
FedEx Corporation (FDX) reports in 27 days, with the next report estimated for July 10, 2026. Across the last 8 reports, options priced an average ±2.0% earnings move while the stock actually moved 1.1% on average — the market has systematically over-priced FDX's earnings risk. Fundamentals into the print: EPS up 17.3% year-over-year, revenue up 8.3%. QuantLogix's live 5-factor engine currently reads FDX as a buy at 54/100.
Implied move is derived from at-the-money option pricing; actual moves are close-to-close on report days. Next-report dates are estimates until confirmed by the company. Educational market analysis, not investment advice. Browse all signal scorecards →