| Report | Options implied | Actual move | Market was |
|---|---|---|---|
| April 16, 2026 | ±3.9% | +0.7% | over-priced |
| October 16, 2025 | ±4.5% | -0.7% | over-priced |
| July 17, 2025 | ±2.5% | +0.6% | over-priced |
| April 16, 2025 | ±4.8% | -1.5% | over-priced |
| October 16, 2024 | ±3.4% | +1.1% | over-priced |
| July 17, 2024 | ±3.1% | +1.4% | over-priced |
| April 16, 2024 | ±3.6% | -0.9% | over-priced |
| October 17, 2023 | ±3.0% | +0.3% | over-priced |
| Quarter | EPS (dil.) | Revenue | Net income |
|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 FY2026 | $0.30 | $2.2B | $340M |
| Q4 FY2025 | $0.25 | $2.0B | $294M |
| Q3 FY2025 | $0.29 | $2.1B | $336M |
| Q2 FY2025 | $0.29 | $2.1B | $330M |
Fastenal Co (FAST) reports in 78 days, with the next report estimated for August 30, 2026. Across the last 8 reports, options priced an average ±3.6% earnings move while the stock actually moved 0.9% on average — the market has systematically over-priced FAST's earnings risk. Fundamentals into the print: EPS down 42.3% year-over-year, revenue up 12.4%. QuantLogix's live 5-factor engine currently reads FAST as a buy at 55/100.
Implied move is derived from at-the-money option pricing; actual moves are close-to-close on report days. Next-report dates are estimates until confirmed by the company. Educational market analysis, not investment advice. Browse all signal scorecards →