| Report | Options implied | Actual move | Market was |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/23/2026 | ±3.0% | +2.5% | over-priced |
| 04/24/2026 | ±6.4% | +0.3% | over-priced |
| 02/03/2026 | ±4.6% | +5.6% | under-priced |
| 10/24/2025 | ±4.1% | +1.2% | over-priced |
| 07/25/2025 | ±7.8% | +1.8% | over-priced |
| 04/25/2025 | ±4.7% | +0.9% | over-priced |
| 02/04/2025 | ±4.5% | +3.1% | over-priced |
| 10/25/2024 | ±1.9% | -2.5% | under-priced |
| Quarter | EPS (dil.) | Revenue | Net income |
|---|---|---|---|
| Q3 FY2026 | $0.62 | $11.3B | $458M |
| Q1 FY2026 | $-0.74 | $9.8B | $-533M |
| Q4 FY2025 | — | $9.5B | $-1.4B |
| Q3 FY2025 | $0.08 | $10.0B | $62M |
Dow Inc. (DOW) reports in 110 days, with the next report estimated for 02/15/2027. Across the last 8 reports, options priced an average ±4.6% earnings move while the stock actually moved 2.2% on average — the market has systematically over-priced DOW's earnings risk. Fundamentals into the print: EPS up 675.0% year-over-year, revenue up 13.0%. QuantLogix's live 5-factor engine currently reads DOW as a neutral at 54/100.
Implied move is derived from at-the-money option pricing; actual moves are close-to-close on report days. Next-report dates are estimates until confirmed by the company. Educational market analysis, not investment advice. Browse all signal scorecards →