| Report | Options implied | Actual move | Market was |
|---|---|---|---|
| July 24, 2026 | ±4.1% | -3.4% | over-priced |
| April 24, 2026 | ±6.4% | +0.3% | over-priced |
| October 24, 2025 | ±4.1% | +1.2% | over-priced |
| July 25, 2025 | ±7.8% | +1.8% | over-priced |
| April 25, 2025 | ±4.7% | +0.9% | over-priced |
| October 25, 2024 | ±1.9% | -2.5% | under-priced |
| April 26, 2024 | ±2.1% | +1.5% | over-priced |
| October 25, 2023 | ±2.0% | -3.5% | under-priced |
| Quarter | EPS (dil.) | Revenue | Net income |
|---|---|---|---|
| Q2 FY2026 | $0.99 | $12.1B | $802M |
| Q1 FY2026 | $-0.74 | $9.8B | $-445M |
| Q4 FY2025 | $-2.17 | $9.5B | $-1.5B |
| Q3 FY2025 | $0.08 | $10.0B | $124M |
Dow Inc. (DOW) reports in 109 days, with the next report estimated for November 14, 2026. Across the last 8 reports, options priced an average ±4.1% earnings move while the stock actually moved 1.9% on average — the market has systematically over-priced DOW's earnings risk. Fundamentals into the print: EPS up 183.9% year-over-year, revenue up 19.7%. QuantLogix's live 5-factor engine currently reads DOW as a neutral at 42/100.
Implied move is derived from at-the-money option pricing; actual moves are close-to-close on report days. Next-report dates are estimates until confirmed by the company. Educational market analysis, not investment advice. Browse all signal scorecards →