| Report | Options implied | Actual move | Market was |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07/29/2026 | ±5.2% | +0.4% | over-priced |
| 04/29/2026 | ±4.0% | -2.4% | over-priced |
| 02/18/2026 | ±8.8% | +3.0% | over-priced |
| 10/29/2025 | ±6.5% | -2.3% | over-priced |
| 07/30/2025 | ±4.0% | -0.9% | over-priced |
| 05/07/2025 | ±4.6% | +0.1% | over-priced |
| 02/19/2025 | ±3.5% | -1.0% | over-priced |
| 10/30/2024 | ±3.0% | -0.7% | over-priced |
| Quarter | EPS (dil.) | Revenue | Net income |
|---|---|---|---|
| Q2 FY2026 | — | $7.4B | $310M |
| Q1 FY2026 | — | $6.4B | $250M |
| Q4 FY2025 | — | $5.6B | $857M |
| Q3 FY2025 | — | $5.6B | $151M |
Carvana Co. (CVNA) reports imminently, with the next report estimated for 10/28/2026. Across the last 8 reports, options priced an average ±4.9% earnings move while the stock actually moved 1.3% on average — the market has systematically over-priced CVNA's earnings risk. Fundamentals into the print: EPS up 0.0% year-over-year, revenue up 52.4%. QuantLogix's live 5-factor engine currently reads CVNA as a neutral at 47/100.
Implied move is derived from at-the-money option pricing; actual moves are close-to-close on report days. Next-report dates are estimates until confirmed by the company. Educational market analysis, not investment advice. Browse all signal scorecards →