| Report | Options implied | Actual move | Market was |
|---|---|---|---|
| April 29, 2026 | ±4.0% | -2.4% | over-priced |
| July 30, 2025 | ±4.0% | -0.9% | over-priced |
| May 7, 2025 | ±4.6% | +0.1% | over-priced |
| October 30, 2024 | ±3.0% | -0.7% | over-priced |
| July 31, 2024 | ±8.0% | +5.1% | over-priced |
| May 1, 2024 | ±6.2% | +5.0% | over-priced |
| November 2, 2023 | ±6.3% | +15.1% | under-priced |
| July 19, 2023 | ±14.7% | +40.2% | under-priced |
| Quarter | EPS (dil.) | Revenue | Net income |
|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 FY2026 | — | $6.4B | $405M |
| Q4 FY2025 | — | $0 | $0 |
| Q2 FY2025 | — | $4.8B | $308M |
| Q1 FY2025 | — | $4.2B | $373M |
Carvana Co. (CVNA) reports in 114 days, with the next report estimated for October 5, 2026. Across the last 8 reports, options priced an average ±6.3% earnings move while the stock actually moved 8.7% on average — the market has systematically over-priced CVNA's earnings risk. Fundamentals into the print: EPS up 0.0% year-over-year, revenue up 76.0%. QuantLogix's live 5-factor engine currently reads CVNA as a neutral at 38/100.
Implied move is derived from at-the-money option pricing; actual moves are close-to-close on report days. Next-report dates are estimates until confirmed by the company. Educational market analysis, not investment advice. Browse all signal scorecards →