| Report | Options implied | Actual move | Market was |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07/29/2026 | ±5.2% | +0.4% | over-priced |
| 04/29/2026 | ±4.0% | -2.4% | over-priced |
| 07/30/2025 | ±4.0% | -0.9% | over-priced |
| 05/07/2025 | ±4.6% | +0.1% | over-priced |
| 10/30/2024 | ±3.0% | -0.7% | over-priced |
| 07/31/2024 | ±8.0% | +5.1% | over-priced |
| 05/01/2024 | ±6.2% | +5.0% | over-priced |
| 11/02/2023 | ±6.3% | +15.1% | under-priced |
| Quarter | EPS (dil.) | Revenue | Net income |
|---|---|---|---|
| Q2 FY2026 | — | $7.4B | $513M |
| Q1 FY2026 | — | $6.4B | $405M |
| Q4 FY2025 | — | $0 | $0 |
| Q2 FY2025 | — | $4.8B | $308M |
Carvana Co. (CVNA) reports in 111 days, with the next report estimated for 01/04/2027. Across the last 8 reports, options priced an average ±5.2% earnings move while the stock actually moved 3.7% on average — the market has systematically over-priced CVNA's earnings risk. Fundamentals into the print: EPS up 0.0% year-over-year, revenue up 74.3%. QuantLogix's live 5-factor engine currently reads CVNA as a buy at 61/100.
Implied move is derived from at-the-money option pricing; actual moves are close-to-close on report days. Next-report dates are estimates until confirmed by the company. Educational market analysis, not investment advice. Browse all signal scorecards →