| Report | Options implied | Actual move | Market was |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08/06/2026 | ±2.9% | +1.5% | over-priced |
| 04/30/2026 | ±2.7% | -1.9% | over-priced |
| 02/17/2026 | ±2.2% | -2.4% | under-priced |
| 11/06/2025 | ±1.9% | -2.3% | under-priced |
| 08/07/2025 | ±2.5% | -0.6% | over-priced |
| 05/08/2025 | ±3.0% | +1.3% | over-priced |
| 02/18/2025 | ±2.7% | +1.2% | over-priced |
| 10/31/2024 | ±1.7% | +6.4% | under-priced |
| Quarter | EPS (dil.) | Revenue | Net income |
|---|---|---|---|
| Q2 FY2026 | $3.23 | $19.2B | $3.9B |
| Q1 FY2026 | $1.78 | $15.8B | $2.2B |
| Q4 FY2025 | — | $13.4B | $1.4B |
| Q3 FY2025 | $1.38 | $15.0B | $1.7B |
ConocoPhillips (COP) reports in 8 days, with the next report estimated for 11/05/2026. Across the last 8 reports, options priced an average ±2.4% earnings move while the stock actually moved 2.2% on average — the market has been roughly fair on COP's earnings risk. Fundamentals into the print: EPS up 107.1% year-over-year, revenue up 36.8%. QuantLogix's live 5-factor engine currently reads COP as a buy at 79/100.
Implied move is derived from at-the-money option pricing; actual moves are close-to-close on report days. Next-report dates are estimates until confirmed by the company. Educational market analysis, not investment advice. Browse all signal scorecards →