QuantLogix ← COP scorecard
📅 COP Earnings Preview
ConocoPhillips
Next report (est.)
May 5, 2026
Countdown
Imminent
EPS growth YoY
-38.4%
Revenue growth YoY
-5.9%
Options-implied earnings move
±3.2%
The at-the-money straddle prices a move to roughly $120.75 or $113.21 from $116.98 by June 18, 2026.
Implied vs actual — last 8 reports
ReportOptions impliedActual moveMarket was
November 6, 2025 ±1.9% -2.3% under-priced
August 7, 2025 ±2.5% -0.6% over-priced
May 8, 2025 ±3.0% +1.3% over-priced
October 31, 2024 ±1.7% +6.4% under-priced
August 1, 2024 ±1.8% -2.5% under-priced
May 2, 2024 ±2.1% -1.7% over-priced
November 2, 2023 ±2.2% +4.6% under-priced
August 3, 2023 ±1.9% -0.5% over-priced
Across these reports, options implied an average ±2.1% move vs an actual average of 2.5% — the stock stayed inside the implied band 50% of the time.
Fundamentals into the print
QuarterEPS (dil.)RevenueNet income
Q4 FY2025 $1.17 $13.4B $1.4B
Q3 FY2025 $1.38 $15.0B $1.7B
Q2 FY2025 $1.56 $14.0B $2.0B
Q1 FY2025 $2.23 $16.5B $2.8B
Live 5-factor engine read: Buy · 60/100 Full scorecard →
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ConocoPhillips (COP) reports imminently, with the next report estimated for May 5, 2026. Across the last 8 reports, options priced an average ±2.1% earnings move while the stock actually moved 2.5% on average — the market has been roughly fair on COP's earnings risk. Fundamentals into the print: EPS down 38.4% year-over-year, revenue down 5.9%. QuantLogix's live 5-factor engine currently reads COP as a buy at 60/100.

Implied move is derived from at-the-money option pricing; actual moves are close-to-close on report days. Next-report dates are estimates until confirmed by the company. Educational market analysis, not investment advice. Browse all signal scorecards →