| Report | Options implied | Actual move | Market was |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 7, 2026 | ±5.2% | -2.5% | over-priced |
| October 30, 2025 | ±5.3% | -5.8% | under-priced |
| July 31, 2025 | ±4.2% | +0.1% | over-priced |
| May 8, 2025 | ±3.5% | +5.1% | under-priced |
| October 30, 2024 | ±5.3% | -3.6% | over-priced |
| August 1, 2024 | ±7.5% | -5.2% | over-priced |
| May 2, 2024 | ±8.2% | +8.9% | under-priced |
| November 2, 2023 | ±5.9% | +8.7% | under-priced |
| Quarter | EPS (dil.) | Revenue | Net income |
|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 FY2026 | $-1.49 | $1.4B | $-394M |
| Q4 FY2025 | $-2.40 | $1.8B | $-667M |
| Q3 FY2025 | $1.50 | $1.9B | $433M |
| Q2 FY2025 | $5.14 | $1.5B | $1.4B |
Coinbase Global, Inc. Class A Common Stock (COIN) reports in 101 days, with the next report estimated for September 22, 2026. Across the last 8 reports, options priced an average ±5.6% earnings move while the stock actually moved 5.0% on average — the market has been roughly fair on COIN's earnings risk. Fundamentals into the print: EPS down 720.8% year-over-year, revenue down 30.5%. QuantLogix's live 5-factor engine currently reads COIN as a neutral at 38/100.
Implied move is derived from at-the-money option pricing; actual moves are close-to-close on report days. Next-report dates are estimates until confirmed by the company. Educational market analysis, not investment advice. Browse all signal scorecards →