| Report | Options implied | Actual move | Market was |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 7, 2026 | ±2.0% | -0.4% | over-priced |
| November 3, 2025 | ±2.1% | +0.8% | over-priced |
| July 31, 2025 | ±2.4% | -0.1% | over-priced |
| May 7, 2025 | ±3.2% | +0.5% | over-priced |
| October 31, 2024 | ±3.8% | -2.4% | over-priced |
| August 1, 2024 | ±1.9% | -5.0% | under-priced |
| May 2, 2024 | ±2.2% | +0.1% | over-priced |
| November 2, 2023 | ±4.0% | +4.4% | under-priced |
| Quarter | EPS (dil.) | Revenue | Net income |
|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 FY2026 | $3.34 | $15.2B | $2.2B |
| Q4 FY2025 | $3.80 | $15.6B | $2.1B |
| Q3 FY2025 | $4.83 | $15.4B | $3.2B |
| Q2 FY2025 | $-8.58 | $12.5B | $-4.3B |
Capital One Financial (COF) reports in 101 days, with the next report estimated for September 22, 2026. Across the last 8 reports, options priced an average ±2.7% earnings move while the stock actually moved 1.7% on average — the market has systematically over-priced COF's earnings risk. Fundamentals into the print: EPS down 3.2% year-over-year, revenue up 52.3%. QuantLogix's live 5-factor engine currently reads COF as a neutral at 47/100.
Implied move is derived from at-the-money option pricing; actual moves are close-to-close on report days. Next-report dates are estimates until confirmed by the company. Educational market analysis, not investment advice. Browse all signal scorecards →