| Report | Options implied | Actual move | Market was |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07/28/2026 | ±3.1% | +2.6% | over-priced |
| 05/07/2026 | ±2.0% | -0.4% | over-priced |
| 11/03/2025 | ±2.1% | +0.8% | over-priced |
| 07/31/2025 | ±2.4% | -0.1% | over-priced |
| 05/07/2025 | ±3.2% | +0.5% | over-priced |
| 10/31/2024 | ±3.8% | -2.4% | over-priced |
| 08/01/2024 | ±1.9% | -5.0% | under-priced |
| 05/02/2024 | ±2.2% | +0.1% | over-priced |
| Quarter | EPS (dil.) | Revenue | Net income |
|---|---|---|---|
| Q2 FY2026 | $4.73 | $15.8B | $3.0B |
| Q1 FY2026 | $3.34 | $15.2B | $2.2B |
| Q4 FY2025 | $3.80 | $15.6B | $2.1B |
| Q3 FY2025 | $4.83 | $15.4B | $3.2B |
Capital One Financial (COF) reports in 65 days, with the next report estimated for 11/16/2026. Across the last 8 reports, options priced an average ±2.6% earnings move while the stock actually moved 1.5% on average — the market has systematically over-priced COF's earnings risk. Fundamentals into the print: EPS up 155.1% year-over-year, revenue up 26.9%. QuantLogix's live 5-factor engine currently reads COF as a neutral at 50/100.
Implied move is derived from at-the-money option pricing; actual moves are close-to-close on report days. Next-report dates are estimates until confirmed by the company. Educational market analysis, not investment advice. Browse all signal scorecards →