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📅 CMG Earnings Preview
Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc.
Next report (est.)
April 28, 2026
Countdown
Imminent
EPS growth YoY
+4.2%
Revenue growth YoY
+4.9%
Options-implied earnings move
±4.0%
The at-the-money straddle prices a move to roughly $33.53 or $30.93 from $32.23 by June 18, 2026.
Implied vs actual — last 8 reports
ReportOptions impliedActual moveMarket was
October 30, 2025 ±2.3% -18.2% under-priced
July 24, 2025 ±2.4% -13.3% under-priced
April 24, 2025 ±3.7% +1.6% over-priced
October 30, 2024 ±1.8% -7.9% under-priced
July 25, 2024 ±3.2% -1.9% over-priced
April 25, 2024 ±1.7% +6.3% under-priced
October 27, 2023 ±1.9% +4.5% under-priced
July 28, 2023 ±4.0% +1.6% over-priced
Across these reports, options implied an average ±2.6% move vs an actual average of 6.9% — the stock stayed inside the implied band 38% of the time.
Fundamentals into the print
QuarterEPS (dil.)RevenueNet income
Q4 FY2025 $0.25 $3.0B $331M
Q3 FY2025 $0.29 $3.0B $382M
Q2 FY2025 $0.32 $3.1B $436M
Q1 FY2025 $0.28 $2.9B $387M
Live 5-factor engine read: Buy · 58/100 Full scorecard →
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Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc. (CMG) reports imminently, with the next report estimated for April 28, 2026. Across the last 8 reports, options priced an average ±2.6% earnings move while the stock actually moved 6.9% on average — the market has been roughly fair on CMG's earnings risk. Fundamentals into the print: EPS up 4.2% year-over-year, revenue up 4.9%. QuantLogix's live 5-factor engine currently reads CMG as a buy at 58/100.

Implied move is derived from at-the-money option pricing; actual moves are close-to-close on report days. Next-report dates are estimates until confirmed by the company. Educational market analysis, not investment advice. Browse all signal scorecards →