| Report | Options implied | Actual move | Market was |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/23/2026 | ±2.2% | -0.1% | over-priced |
| 07/24/2026 | ±3.5% | +0.4% | over-priced |
| 04/24/2026 | ±2.8% | -0.1% | over-priced |
| 02/26/2026 | ±2.4% | +3.0% | under-priced |
| 10/24/2025 | ±2.1% | +0.2% | over-priced |
| 07/25/2025 | ±1.8% | +0.9% | over-priced |
| 04/30/2025 | ±2.6% | +1.7% | over-priced |
| 02/27/2025 | ±1.4% | +0.8% | over-priced |
| Quarter | EPS (dil.) | Revenue | Net income |
|---|---|---|---|
| Q3 FY2026 | $2.89 | $1.7B | $1.0B |
| Q2 FY2026 | $2.88 | $1.7B | $1.0B |
| Q1 FY2026 | $3.18 | $1.9B | $1.2B |
| Q4 FY2025 | — | $1.6B | $1.2B |
CME (CME) reports in 87 days, with the next report estimated for 01/22/2027. Across the last 8 reports, options priced an average ±2.4% earnings move while the stock actually moved 0.9% on average — the market has systematically over-priced CME's earnings risk. Fundamentals into the print: EPS up 16.1% year-over-year, revenue up 13.0%. QuantLogix's live 5-factor engine currently reads CME as a buy at 84/100.
Implied move is derived from at-the-money option pricing; actual moves are close-to-close on report days. Next-report dates are estimates until confirmed by the company. Educational market analysis, not investment advice. Browse all signal scorecards →