| Report | Options implied | Actual move | Market was |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 7, 2026 | ±4.5% | -0.9% | over-priced |
| November 6, 2025 | ±2.4% | -4.2% | under-priced |
| August 7, 2025 | ±3.1% | -7.8% | under-priced |
| May 8, 2025 | ±2.6% | +0.8% | over-priced |
| October 31, 2024 | ±1.8% | +0.6% | over-priced |
| August 8, 2024 | ±3.1% | +8.5% | under-priced |
| May 2, 2024 | ±2.1% | -5.3% | under-priced |
| November 2, 2023 | ±2.4% | +1.3% | over-priced |
| Quarter | EPS (dil.) | Revenue | Net income |
|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 FY2026 | $3.98 | $2.0B | $676M |
| Q4 FY2025 | $2.58 | $1.9B | $495M |
| Q3 FY2025 | $2.19 | $1.7B | $460M |
| Q2 FY2025 | $2.37 | $1.9B | $492M |
CF Industries Holding, Inc. (CF) reports in 101 days, with the next report estimated for September 22, 2026. Across the last 8 reports, options priced an average ±2.8% earnings move while the stock actually moved 3.7% on average — the market has been roughly fair on CF's earnings risk. Fundamentals into the print: EPS up 115.1% year-over-year, revenue up 19.4%. QuantLogix's live 5-factor engine currently reads CF as a buy at 57/100.
Implied move is derived from at-the-money option pricing; actual moves are close-to-close on report days. Next-report dates are estimates until confirmed by the company. Educational market analysis, not investment advice. Browse all signal scorecards →