| Report | Options implied | Actual move | Market was |
|---|---|---|---|
| March 27, 2026 | ±4.5% | -4.3% | over-priced |
| September 29, 2025 | ±2.3% | -4.0% | under-priced |
| June 26, 2025 | ±4.3% | +2.7% | over-priced |
| March 25, 2025 | ±5.3% | -0.8% | over-priced |
| September 30, 2024 | ±3.2% | -0.3% | over-priced |
| June 27, 2024 | ±3.9% | +1.3% | over-priced |
| March 27, 2024 | ±3.4% | +0.9% | over-priced |
| September 29, 2023 | ±4.3% | -5.0% | under-priced |
| Quarter | EPS (dil.) | Revenue | Net income |
|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 FY2026 | $0.19 | $6.2B | $263M |
| Q4 FY2025 | $0.31 | $6.3B | $422M |
| Q3 FY2025 | $1.33 | $8.2B | $1.9B |
| Q2 FY2025 | $0.42 | $6.3B | $565M |
Carnival Corporation Ltd. (CCL) reports in 57 days, with the next report estimated for August 9, 2026. Across the last 8 reports, options priced an average ±3.9% earnings move while the stock actually moved 2.4% on average — the market has systematically over-priced CCL's earnings risk. Fundamentals into the print: EPS up 416.7% year-over-year, revenue up 6.1%. QuantLogix's live 5-factor engine currently reads CCL as a buy at 58/100.
Implied move is derived from at-the-money option pricing; actual moves are close-to-close on report days. Next-report dates are estimates until confirmed by the company. Educational market analysis, not investment advice. Browse all signal scorecards →