| Report | Options implied | Actual move | Market was |
|---|---|---|---|
| April 28, 2026 | ±2.3% | +1.8% | over-priced |
| October 27, 2025 | ±1.8% | -0.1% | over-priced |
| July 28, 2025 | ±2.2% | -1.2% | over-priced |
| April 28, 2025 | ±2.9% | +1.1% | over-priced |
| October 30, 2024 | ±1.4% | -1.2% | over-priced |
| April 26, 2024 | ±2.3% | -0.2% | over-priced |
| November 1, 2023 | ±2.5% | +2.6% | under-priced |
| July 28, 2023 | ±2.9% | -2.5% | over-priced |
| Quarter | EPS (dil.) | Revenue | Net income |
|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 FY2026 | $5.88 | $14.8B | $2.3B |
| Q4 FY2025 | $8.07 | $15.1B | $3.2B |
| Q3 FY2025 | $6.99 | $16.1B | $3.1B |
| Q2 FY2025 | $7.35 | $14.8B | $3.0B |
Chubb Limited (CB) reports in 90 days, with the next report estimated for September 11, 2026. Across the last 8 reports, options priced an average ±2.3% earnings move while the stock actually moved 1.3% on average — the market has systematically over-priced CB's earnings risk. Fundamentals into the print: EPS up 78.7% year-over-year, revenue up 10.6%. QuantLogix's live 5-factor engine currently reads CB as a buy at 66/100.
Implied move is derived from at-the-money option pricing; actual moves are close-to-close on report days. Next-report dates are estimates until confirmed by the company. Educational market analysis, not investment advice. Browse all signal scorecards →