| Report | Options implied | Actual move | Market was |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08/05/2026 | ±6.3% | -0.6% | over-priced |
| 05/06/2026 | ±4.1% | +2.5% | over-priced |
| 11/03/2025 | ±4.2% | -1.2% | over-priced |
| 08/06/2025 | ±2.6% | -1.5% | over-priced |
| 05/07/2025 | ±2.8% | -0.2% | over-priced |
| 11/06/2024 | ±2.7% | +8.7% | under-priced |
| 05/01/2024 | ±4.4% | -1.1% | over-priced |
| 11/01/2023 | ±3.7% | +2.6% | over-priced |
| Quarter | EPS (dil.) | Revenue | Net income |
|---|---|---|---|
| Q2 FY2026 | $7.77 | $20.5B | $3.6B |
| Q1 FY2026 | $5.47 | $17.4B | $2.5B |
| Q4 FY2025 | $5.12 | $19.1B | $2.4B |
| Q3 FY2025 | $4.88 | $17.6B | $2.3B |
Caterpillar Inc. (CAT) reports in 75 days, with the next report estimated for 11/26/2026. Across the last 8 reports, options priced an average ±3.9% earnings move while the stock actually moved 2.3% on average — the market has systematically over-priced CAT's earnings risk. Fundamentals into the print: EPS up 68.2% year-over-year, revenue up 24.0%. QuantLogix's live 5-factor engine currently reads CAT as a neutral at 46/100.
Implied move is derived from at-the-money option pricing; actual moves are close-to-close on report days. Next-report dates are estimates until confirmed by the company. Educational market analysis, not investment advice. Browse all signal scorecards →