| Report | Options implied | Actual move | Market was |
|---|---|---|---|
| October 28, 2025 | ±3.5% | +0.8% | over-priced |
| July 29, 2025 | ±2.3% | -10.6% | under-priced |
| May 1, 2025 | ±2.6% | +11.6% | under-priced |
| October 25, 2024 | ±3.3% | +1.1% | over-priced |
| July 25, 2024 | ±3.3% | -1.8% | over-priced |
| April 25, 2024 | ±2.4% | +9.2% | under-priced |
| October 26, 2023 | ±2.9% | -1.4% | over-priced |
| July 27, 2023 | ±1.9% | +4.3% | under-priced |
| Quarter | EPS (dil.) | Revenue | Net income |
|---|---|---|---|
| Q4 FY2025 | $0.07 | $4.8B | $62M |
| Q3 FY2025 | $0.50 | $5.6B | $455M |
| Q2 FY2025 | $0.68 | $6.1B | $633M |
| Q1 FY2025 | $0.47 | $5.2B | $437M |
Carrier Global Corporation (CARR) reports imminently, with the next report estimated for April 26, 2026. Across the last 8 reports, options priced an average ±2.8% earnings move while the stock actually moved 5.1% on average — the market has been roughly fair on CARR's earnings risk. Fundamentals into the print: EPS down 97.5% year-over-year, revenue down 6.0%. QuantLogix's live 5-factor engine currently reads CARR as a buy at 57/100.
Implied move is derived from at-the-money option pricing; actual moves are close-to-close on report days. Next-report dates are estimates until confirmed by the company. Educational market analysis, not investment advice. Browse all signal scorecards →