| Report | Options implied | Actual move | Market was |
|---|---|---|---|
| 02/20/2026 | ±3.5% | +0.4% | over-priced |
| 11/06/2025 | ±2.9% | -0.8% | over-priced |
| 08/06/2025 | ±3.1% | +0.8% | over-priced |
| 05/08/2025 | ±2.2% | +2.0% | over-priced |
| 02/21/2025 | ±2.3% | -2.1% | over-priced |
| 11/07/2024 | ±3.3% | -1.3% | over-priced |
| 08/02/2024 | ±2.8% | -7.1% | under-priced |
| 05/03/2024 | ±2.2% | -0.0% | over-priced |
| Quarter | EPS (dil.) | Revenue | Net income |
|---|---|---|---|
| Q4 FY2025 | — | $19.9B | $2.5B |
| Q3 FY2025 | $1.86 | $22.1B | $3.8B |
| Q2 FY2025 | $1.96 | $21.7B | $4.0B |
| Q1 FY2025 | $1.96 | $21.6B | $4.1B |
C (C) reports imminently, with the next report estimated for 08/19/2026. Across the last 8 reports, options priced an average ±2.8% earnings move while the stock actually moved 1.8% on average — the market has systematically over-priced C's earnings risk. Fundamentals into the print: EPS up 0.0% year-over-year, revenue up 1.5%. QuantLogix's live 5-factor engine currently reads C as a underweight at 32/100.
Implied move is derived from at-the-money option pricing; actual moves are close-to-close on report days. Next-report dates are estimates until confirmed by the company. Educational market analysis, not investment advice. Browse all signal scorecards →