| Report | Options implied | Actual move | Market was |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 7, 2026 | ±2.5% | +1.2% | over-priced |
| November 6, 2025 | ±2.9% | -0.8% | over-priced |
| August 6, 2025 | ±3.1% | +0.8% | over-priced |
| May 8, 2025 | ±2.2% | +2.0% | over-priced |
| November 7, 2024 | ±3.3% | -1.3% | over-priced |
| August 2, 2024 | ±2.8% | -7.1% | under-priced |
| May 3, 2024 | ±2.2% | -0.0% | over-priced |
| November 3, 2023 | ±2.4% | +2.2% | over-priced |
| Quarter | EPS (dil.) | Revenue | Net income |
|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 FY2026 | $3.06 | $24.6B | $5.9B |
| Q4 FY2025 | $1.21 | $19.9B | $2.5B |
| Q3 FY2025 | $1.86 | $22.1B | $3.8B |
| Q2 FY2025 | $1.96 | $21.7B | $4.0B |
Citigroup Inc. (C) reports in 99 days, with the next report estimated for September 20, 2026. Across the last 8 reports, options priced an average ±2.7% earnings move while the stock actually moved 1.9% on average — the market has systematically over-priced C's earnings risk. Fundamentals into the print: EPS up 56.1% year-over-year, revenue up 14.1%. QuantLogix's live 5-factor engine currently reads C as a buy at 66/100.
Implied move is derived from at-the-money option pricing; actual moves are close-to-close on report days. Next-report dates are estimates until confirmed by the company. Educational market analysis, not investment advice. Browse all signal scorecards →