| Report | Options implied | Actual move | Market was |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 1, 2026 | ±1.9% | -0.4% | over-priced |
| October 31, 2025 | ±1.6% | +0.0% | over-priced |
| August 1, 2025 | ±1.5% | -1.6% | under-priced |
| May 2, 2025 | ±2.1% | +1.5% | over-priced |
| August 2, 2024 | ±1.7% | -2.4% | under-priced |
| May 3, 2024 | ±1.4% | +0.7% | over-priced |
| November 3, 2023 | ±1.9% | +2.3% | under-priced |
| August 4, 2023 | ±1.8% | -0.4% | over-priced |
| Quarter | EPS (dil.) | Revenue | Net income |
|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 FY2026 | $2.24 | $5.8B | $1.6B |
| Q4 FY2025 | $2.01 | $761M | $1.5B |
| Q3 FY2025 | $1.88 | $6.6B | $1.5B |
| Q2 FY2025 | $1.93 | $6.6B | $1.4B |
BK (BK) reports in 116 days, with the next report estimated for October 7, 2026. Across the last 8 reports, options priced an average ±1.7% earnings move while the stock actually moved 1.2% on average — the market has been roughly fair on BK's earnings risk. Fundamentals into the print: EPS up 41.8% year-over-year, revenue down 4.9%.
Implied move is derived from at-the-money option pricing; actual moves are close-to-close on report days. Next-report dates are estimates until confirmed by the company. Educational market analysis, not investment advice. Browse all signal scorecards →