| Report | Options implied | Actual move | Market was |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 7, 2026 | ±1.9% | -0.3% | over-priced |
| November 6, 2025 | ±2.6% | -1.4% | over-priced |
| August 7, 2025 | ±3.4% | +0.9% | over-priced |
| May 8, 2025 | ±2.0% | -1.6% | over-priced |
| November 12, 2024 | ±2.6% | -0.9% | over-priced |
| August 6, 2024 | ±3.5% | +2.5% | over-priced |
| May 3, 2024 | ±2.0% | +0.2% | over-priced |
| November 3, 2023 | ±3.0% | +2.0% | over-priced |
| Quarter | EPS (dil.) | Revenue | Net income |
|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 FY2026 | $2.33 | $770M | $328M |
| Q4 FY2025 | $1.18 | $768M | $166M |
| Q3 FY2025 | $2.68 | $767M | $384M |
| Q2 FY2025 | $1.88 | $760M | $270M |
AvalonBay Communities, Inc. (AVB) reports in 98 days, with the next report estimated for September 19, 2026. Across the last 8 reports, options priced an average ±2.6% earnings move while the stock actually moved 1.2% on average — the market has systematically over-priced AVB's earnings risk. Fundamentals into the print: EPS up 40.4% year-over-year, revenue up 3.3%. QuantLogix's live 5-factor engine currently reads AVB as a buy at 59/100.
Implied move is derived from at-the-money option pricing; actual moves are close-to-close on report days. Next-report dates are estimates until confirmed by the company. Educational market analysis, not investment advice. Browse all signal scorecards →