| Report | Options implied | Actual move | Market was |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07/30/2026 | ±1.8% | +2.0% | under-priced |
| 04/30/2026 | ±2.0% | -0.8% | over-priced |
| 01/30/2026 | ±1.9% | +6.4% | under-priced |
| 11/20/2025 | ±1.9% | -0.8% | over-priced |
| 07/31/2025 | ±1.6% | -0.8% | over-priced |
| 05/01/2025 | ±2.0% | +0.4% | over-priced |
| 02/06/2025 | ±2.1% | -1.5% | over-priced |
| 11/21/2024 | ±2.0% | +0.3% | over-priced |
| Quarter | EPS (dil.) | Revenue | Net income |
|---|---|---|---|
| Q3 FY2026 | $-6.47 | $3.2B | $-1.4B |
| Q2 FY2026 | $3.19 | $3.2B | $710M |
| Q1 FY2026 | $3.04 | $3.1B | $678M |
| Q4 FY2025 | — | $3.2B | $5M |
APD (APD) reports in 2 days, with the next report estimated for 10/29/2026. Across the last 8 reports, options priced an average ±1.9% earnings move while the stock actually moved 1.6% on average — the market has systematically over-priced APD's earnings risk. Fundamentals into the print: EPS down 302.2% year-over-year, revenue up 4.6%. QuantLogix's live 5-factor engine currently reads APD as a buy at 63/100.
Implied move is derived from at-the-money option pricing; actual moves are close-to-close on report days. Next-report dates are estimates until confirmed by the company. Educational market analysis, not investment advice. Browse all signal scorecards →