| Report | Options implied | Actual move | Market was |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 21, 2026 | ±5.0% | +0.1% | over-priced |
| February 19, 2026 | ±5.9% | +0.1% | over-priced |
| August 21, 2025 | ±5.0% | -0.7% | over-priced |
| May 22, 2025 | ±3.5% | -1.1% | over-priced |
| February 20, 2025 | ±3.9% | +1.1% | over-priced |
| August 22, 2024 | ±3.9% | -4.3% | under-priced |
| May 23, 2024 | ±3.0% | -0.1% | over-priced |
| February 27, 2024 | ±4.0% | -0.3% | over-priced |
| Quarter | EPS (dil.) | Revenue | Net income |
|---|---|---|---|
| Q2 FY2026 | $3.51 | $7.9B | $2.8B |
| Q1 FY2026 | $2.54 | $7.0B | $2.0B |
| Q4 FY2025 | $2.37 | $6.8B | $1.9B |
| Q3 FY2025 | $2.22 | $7.3B | $1.8B |
Applied Materials Inc (AMAT) reports in 90 days, with the next report estimated for September 11, 2026. Across the last 8 reports, options priced an average ±4.3% earnings move while the stock actually moved 1.0% on average — the market has systematically over-priced AMAT's earnings risk. Fundamentals into the print: EPS up 33.5% year-over-year, revenue up 11.4%. QuantLogix's live 5-factor engine currently reads AMAT as a strong buy at 77/100.
Implied move is derived from at-the-money option pricing; actual moves are close-to-close on report days. Next-report dates are estimates until confirmed by the company. Educational market analysis, not investment advice. Browse all signal scorecards →