| Report | Options implied | Actual move | Market was |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 6, 2026 | ±2.6% | -0.9% | over-priced |
| November 5, 2025 | ±1.8% | +2.2% | under-priced |
| August 5, 2025 | ±2.0% | +0.4% | over-priced |
| May 7, 2025 | ±2.8% | +1.0% | over-priced |
| November 1, 2024 | ±2.4% | -0.1% | over-priced |
| August 1, 2024 | ±1.4% | +6.6% | under-priced |
| May 2, 2024 | ±1.8% | -0.6% | over-priced |
| November 2, 2023 | ±1.9% | +3.4% | under-priced |
| Quarter | EPS (dil.) | Revenue | Net income |
|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 FY2026 | $1.98 | $4.3B | $1.0B |
| Q4 FY2025 | $2.61 | $4.9B | $1.4B |
| Q3 FY2025 | $3.08 | $4.7B | $1.6B |
| Q2 FY2025 | $1.11 | $4.2B | $599M |
Aflac Inc. (AFL) reports in 99 days, with the next report estimated for September 20, 2026. Across the last 8 reports, options priced an average ±2.1% earnings move while the stock actually moved 1.9% on average — the market has been roughly fair on AFL's earnings risk. Fundamentals into the print: EPS up 3860.0% year-over-year, revenue up 27.9%. QuantLogix's live 5-factor engine currently reads AFL as a buy at 69/100.
Implied move is derived from at-the-money option pricing; actual moves are close-to-close on report days. Next-report dates are estimates until confirmed by the company. Educational market analysis, not investment advice. Browse all signal scorecards →