| Report | Options implied | Actual move | Market was |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08/04/2026 | ±0.5% | -0.2% | over-priced |
| 05/05/2026 | ±0.5% | +0.6% | under-priced |
| 03/02/2026 | ±3.3% | -17.8% | under-priced |
| 11/04/2025 | ±2.9% | -1.3% | over-priced |
| 08/01/2025 | ±2.7% | +0.6% | over-priced |
| 05/01/2025 | ±2.9% | -0.5% | over-priced |
| 03/11/2025 | ±4.7% | +1.8% | over-priced |
| 10/31/2024 | ±2.4% | +0.4% | over-priced |
| Quarter | EPS (dil.) | Revenue | Net income |
|---|---|---|---|
| Q2 FY2026 | $0.60 | $3.4B | $426M |
| Q1 FY2026 | $0.68 | $3.2B | $487M |
| Q4 FY2025 | — | $3.1B | $320M |
| Q3 FY2025 | $0.89 | $3.4B | $639M |
AES (AES) reports in 8 days, with the next report estimated for 11/04/2026. Across the last 8 reports, options priced an average ±2.5% earnings move while the stock actually moved 2.9% on average — the market has systematically over-priced AES's earnings risk. Fundamentals into the print: EPS up 500.0% year-over-year, revenue up 19.9%. QuantLogix's live 5-factor engine currently reads AES as a buy at 88/100.
Implied move is derived from at-the-money option pricing; actual moves are close-to-close on report days. Next-report dates are estimates until confirmed by the company. Educational market analysis, not investment advice. Browse all signal scorecards →