| Report | Options implied | Actual move | Market was |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 5, 2026 | ±0.5% | +0.6% | under-priced |
| November 4, 2025 | ±2.9% | -1.3% | over-priced |
| August 1, 2025 | ±2.7% | +0.6% | over-priced |
| May 1, 2025 | ±2.9% | -0.5% | over-priced |
| October 31, 2024 | ±2.4% | +0.4% | over-priced |
| August 1, 2024 | ±2.3% | +0.7% | over-priced |
| May 2, 2024 | ±3.1% | +4.2% | under-priced |
| November 2, 2023 | ±2.2% | +4.4% | under-priced |
| Quarter | EPS (dil.) | Revenue | Net income |
|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 FY2026 | $0.68 | $3.2B | $275M |
| Q4 FY2025 | $0.45 | $3.1B | $-132M |
| Q3 FY2025 | $0.89 | $3.4B | $517M |
| Q2 FY2025 | $-0.15 | $2.9B | $-150M |
AES Corporation (AES) reports in 98 days, with the next report estimated for September 19, 2026. Across the last 8 reports, options priced an average ±2.4% earnings move while the stock actually moved 1.6% on average — the market has been roughly fair on AES's earnings risk. Fundamentals into the print: EPS up 871.4% year-over-year, revenue up 8.7%. QuantLogix's live 5-factor engine currently reads AES as a buy at 54/100.
Implied move is derived from at-the-money option pricing; actual moves are close-to-close on report days. Next-report dates are estimates until confirmed by the company. Educational market analysis, not investment advice. Browse all signal scorecards →