| Report | Options implied | Actual move | Market was |
|---|---|---|---|
| January 29, 2026 | ±1.9% | -1.9% | under-priced |
| October 31, 2025 | ±2.6% | -0.5% | over-priced |
| May 1, 2025 | ±2.1% | -0.6% | over-priced |
| January 30, 2025 | ±2.3% | +0.9% | over-priced |
| November 1, 2024 | ±1.6% | -0.4% | over-priced |
| May 2, 2024 | ±2.1% | -2.1% | under-priced |
| February 1, 2024 | ±2.1% | +0.5% | over-priced |
| November 2, 2023 | ±2.9% | +3.9% | under-priced |
| Quarter | EPS (dil.) | Revenue | Net income |
|---|---|---|---|
| Q2 FY2026 | $2.62 | $5.4B | $1.1B |
| Q1 FY2026 | $2.49 | $5.2B | $1.0B |
| Q4 FY2025 | $2.23 | $5.1B | $911M |
| Q3 FY2025 | $3.06 | $5.6B | $1.2B |
Automatic Data Processing (ADP) reports in 45 days, with the next report estimated for July 28, 2026. Across the last 8 reports, options priced an average ±2.2% earnings move while the stock actually moved 1.4% on average — the market has been roughly fair on ADP's earnings risk. Fundamentals into the print: EPS up 11.5% year-over-year, revenue up 6.2%. QuantLogix's live 5-factor engine currently reads ADP as a buy at 51/100.
Implied move is derived from at-the-money option pricing; actual moves are close-to-close on report days. Next-report dates are estimates until confirmed by the company. Educational market analysis, not investment advice. Browse all signal scorecards →