| Report | Options implied | Actual move | Market was |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01/29/2026 | ±1.9% | -1.9% | under-priced |
| 10/31/2025 | ±2.6% | -0.5% | over-priced |
| 05/01/2025 | ±2.1% | -0.6% | over-priced |
| 01/30/2025 | ±2.3% | +0.9% | over-priced |
| 11/01/2024 | ±1.6% | -0.4% | over-priced |
| 05/02/2024 | ±2.1% | -2.1% | under-priced |
| 02/01/2024 | ±2.1% | +0.5% | over-priced |
| 11/02/2023 | ±2.9% | +3.9% | under-priced |
| Quarter | EPS (dil.) | Revenue | Net income |
|---|---|---|---|
| Q4 FY2026 | — | $0 | $0 |
| Q2 FY2026 | $2.62 | $5.4B | $1.1B |
| Q1 FY2026 | $2.49 | $5.2B | $1.0B |
| Q4 FY2025 | $2.23 | $5.1B | $911M |
Automatic Data Processing (ADP) reports imminently, with the next report estimated for 07/28/2026. Across the last 8 reports, options priced an average ±2.2% earnings move while the stock actually moved 1.4% on average — the market has been roughly fair on ADP's earnings risk. Fundamentals into the print: EPS up 0.0% year-over-year, revenue up 0.0%. QuantLogix's live 5-factor engine currently reads ADP as a buy at 87/100.
Implied move is derived from at-the-money option pricing; actual moves are close-to-close on report days. Next-report dates are estimates until confirmed by the company. Educational market analysis, not investment advice. Browse all signal scorecards →