| Report | Options implied | Actual move | Market was |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 5, 2026 | ±2.9% | +3.8% | under-priced |
| November 4, 2025 | ±1.9% | +0.1% | over-priced |
| August 5, 2025 | ±2.4% | +6.0% | under-priced |
| May 6, 2025 | ±1.6% | +1.7% | under-priced |
| November 18, 2024 | ±2.0% | -1.2% | over-priced |
| July 30, 2024 | ±2.1% | -1.3% | over-priced |
| April 30, 2024 | ±1.8% | -3.3% | under-priced |
| October 24, 2023 | ±1.9% | -4.0% | under-priced |
| Quarter | EPS (dil.) | Revenue | Net income |
|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 FY2026 | $0.62 | $20.5B | $303M |
| Q4 FY2025 | $0.94 | $18.6B | $454M |
| Q3 FY2025 | $0.22 | $20.4B | $110M |
| Q2 FY2025 | $0.45 | $21.2B | $217M |
Archer Daniels Midland Company (ADM) reports in 94 days, with the next report estimated for September 15, 2026. Across the last 8 reports, options priced an average ±2.1% earnings move while the stock actually moved 2.7% on average — the market has been roughly fair on ADM's earnings risk. Fundamentals into the print: EPS up 1.6% year-over-year, revenue up 1.6%. QuantLogix's live 5-factor engine currently reads ADM as a buy at 57/100.
Implied move is derived from at-the-money option pricing; actual moves are close-to-close on report days. Next-report dates are estimates until confirmed by the company. Educational market analysis, not investment advice. Browse all signal scorecards →