QuantLogix ← ACGL scorecard
📅 ACGL Earnings Preview
Arch Capital Group Ltd. Common Stock
Next report (est.)
11/03/2026
Countdown
6 days
EPS growth YoY
-7.1%
Revenue growth YoY
-10.5%
Options-implied earnings move
±5.0%
The at-the-money straddle prices a move to roughly $105.71 or $95.61 from $100.66 by 11/20/2026.
Implied vs actual — last 8 reports
ReportOptions impliedActual moveMarket was
08/04/2026 ±3.4% -1.6% over-priced
05/05/2026 ±3.2% +0.5% over-priced
02/26/2026 ±1.6% +0.3% over-priced
11/06/2025 ±1.8% +0.2% over-priced
08/05/2025 ±2.6% +0.2% over-priced
05/07/2025 ±3.2% -0.3% over-priced
11/07/2024 ±3.7% -1.9% over-priced
08/06/2024 ±4.2% +0.6% over-priced
Across these reports, options implied an average ±3.0% move vs an actual average of 0.7% — the stock stayed inside the implied band 100% of the time.
Fundamentals into the print
QuarterEPS (dil.)RevenueNet income
Q2 FY2026 $3.00 $4.7B $1.1B
Q1 FY2026 $2.88 $4.5B $1.0B
Q4 FY2025 — $4.9B $1.2B
Q3 FY2025 $3.56 $5.1B $1.4B
Analyst posture
Buy / Strong Buy
17
Hold
10
Sell
1
Stable: +0 net change 30d
Live 5-factor engine read: Buy · 69/100 Full scorecard →
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Arch Capital Group Ltd. Common Stock (ACGL) reports in 6 days, with the next report estimated for 11/03/2026. Across the last 8 reports, options priced an average ±3.0% earnings move while the stock actually moved 0.7% on average — the market has systematically over-priced ACGL's earnings risk. Fundamentals into the print: EPS down 7.1% year-over-year, revenue down 10.5%. QuantLogix's live 5-factor engine currently reads ACGL as a buy at 69/100.

Implied move is derived from at-the-money option pricing; actual moves are close-to-close on report days. Next-report dates are estimates until confirmed by the company. Educational market analysis, not investment advice. Browse all signal scorecards →