| Report | Options implied | Actual move | Market was |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 7, 2026 | ±2.7% | +0.4% | over-priced |
| November 6, 2025 | ±2.4% | -1.6% | over-priced |
| August 6, 2025 | ±2.8% | +0.4% | over-priced |
| May 1, 2025 | ±3.2% | +1.7% | over-priced |
| November 7, 2024 | ±2.6% | +4.6% | under-priced |
| August 6, 2024 | ±4.3% | +4.1% | over-priced |
| May 8, 2024 | ±2.9% | -1.2% | over-priced |
| November 1, 2023 | ±3.5% | +1.0% | over-priced |
| Quarter | EPS (dil.) | Revenue | Net income |
|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 FY2026 | — | $2.7B | $160M |
| Q4 FY2025 | — | $2.8B | $341M |
| Q3 FY2025 | — | $4.1B | $1.4B |
| Q2 FY2025 | — | $3.1B | $642M |
Airbnb, Inc. Class A Common Stock (ABNB) reports in 99 days, with the next report estimated for September 20, 2026. Across the last 8 reports, options priced an average ±3.0% earnings move while the stock actually moved 1.9% on average — the market has systematically over-priced ABNB's earnings risk. Fundamentals into the print: EPS up 0.0% year-over-year, revenue up 17.9%. QuantLogix's live 5-factor engine currently reads ABNB as a buy at 56/100.
Implied move is derived from at-the-money option pricing; actual moves are close-to-close on report days. Next-report dates are estimates until confirmed by the company. Educational market analysis, not investment advice. Browse all signal scorecards →