| Report | Options implied | Actual move | Market was |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07/31/2026 | ±2.5% | -7.3% | under-priced |
| 05/01/2026 | ±2.0% | +3.2% | under-priced |
| 01/30/2026 | ±2.3% | +0.5% | over-priced |
| 10/31/2025 | ±1.7% | -0.4% | over-priced |
| 08/01/2025 | ±1.4% | -2.5% | under-priced |
| 05/02/2025 | ±2.3% | -3.7% | under-priced |
| 01/31/2025 | ±2.8% | -0.7% | over-priced |
| 11/01/2024 | ±1.6% | -1.3% | over-priced |
| Quarter | EPS (dil.) | Revenue | Net income |
|---|---|---|---|
| Q3 FY2026 | $2.02 | $109.4B | $29.8B |
| Q2 FY2026 | $2.01 | $111.2B | $29.6B |
| Q1 FY2026 | $2.84 | $143.8B | $42.1B |
| Q4 FY2025 | — | $102.5B | $27.5B |
AAPL (AAPL) reports in 3 days, with the next report estimated for 10/30/2026. Across the last 8 reports, options priced an average ±2.1% earnings move while the stock actually moved 2.5% on average — the market has been roughly fair on AAPL's earnings risk. Fundamentals into the print: EPS up 28.7% year-over-year, revenue up 16.4%. QuantLogix's live 5-factor engine currently reads AAPL as a buy at 71/100.
Implied move is derived from at-the-money option pricing; actual moves are close-to-close on report days. Next-report dates are estimates until confirmed by the company. Educational market analysis, not investment advice. Browse all signal scorecards →