NVDA$207.12+2.0%
Buy now
63/100
Buy signal with medium conviction and a defined invalidation.
The planconviction × inverse volatility, capped by 1% risk budget
Entry zone
$205.46 – $208.76
universe setup
Invalidation
Below $196.09
Exit the thesis, not just the trade
Target
$223.64
1.5:1 reward / risk
Suggested size
2.35% max allocation
11 shares per $100k example
Bull / base / bearsignal geometry + historical analogs
bull
$223.64
+8.0% · Plan works
base
$210.17
+1.5% · Historical analog
bear
$196.09
-5.3% · Invalidation
Evidence for
✓Technical trend confirms (66/100)
✓Momentum confirms (63/100)
✓Fundamentals confirms (97/100)
✓Similar setups won 68% over 5 days
✓News and social mood is bullish
Risks to respect
△Analyst estimate revisions are deteriorating
Entry ranges are model geometry, not executable quotes.Position sizing uses a hypothetical $100,000 account and is not personalized advice.Signals and inputs can change after this snapshot.