AAPL$327.73+0.3%
Buy now
77/100
Strong Buy signal with strong conviction and a defined invalidation.
The planconviction × inverse volatility, capped by 1% risk budget
Entry zone
$326.18 – $329.36
universe setup
Invalidation
Below $317.19
Exit the thesis, not just the trade
Target
$344.34
1.6:1 reward / risk
Suggested size
5% max allocation
15 shares per $100k example
Bull / base / bearsignal geometry + historical analogs
bull
$344.34
+5.1% · Plan works
base
$330.28
+0.8% · Historical analog
bear
$317.19
-3.2% · Invalidation
Evidence for
✓Technical trend confirms (81/100)
✓Fundamentals confirms (67/100)
✓Market structure confirms (93/100)
✓Similar setups won 68% over 5 days
Risks to respect
△Analyst estimate revisions are deteriorating
△Earnings event risk in 8 days
Entry ranges are model geometry, not executable quotes.Position sizing uses a hypothetical $100,000 account and is not personalized advice.Signals and inputs can change after this snapshot.